203.02

Alternative Assumptions

Guidance

If you determine that the base assumptions do not appropriately estimate the PropertyPropertyMultifamily residential real estate securing the Mortgage Loan, including the fee simple or Leasehold interest, Improvements, and personal property (per the Uniform Commercial Code). ’s NCFNCFOn an annual basis or any specified period, the total Net Operating Income, minus the full amount underwritten for Replacement Reserve expense, regardless of whether deposits will be made (per Part II, Chapter 2: Valuation and Income, Section 202: Income Analysis and the applicable products and… over the Mortgage LoanMortgage LoanMortgage debt obligation evidenced, or when made will be evidenced, by the Loan Documents, or  a mortgage debt obligation with a Fannie Mae credit enhancement. term, you may undertake an alternative risk analysis using assumptions that deviate from the base assumptions.

You should specifically identify and support any deviations with reliable evidence and historical and projected market trends.  You should state your conclusions and discuss any mitigating factors, such as the

  • strength of the SponsorSponsorPrincipal equity owner and/or primary decision maker of the Borrower (often the Key Principal or the Person Controlling the Key Principal). or the submarket,
  • PropertyPropertyMultifamily residential real estate securing the Mortgage Loan, including the fee simple or Leasehold interest, Improvements, and personal property (per the Uniform Commercial Code). ’s characteristics, or
  • PropertyPropertyMultifamily residential real estate securing the Mortgage Loan, including the fee simple or Leasehold interest, Improvements, and personal property (per the Uniform Commercial Code). ’s operating history and performance.

Income and Expense Growth Rates:  Income and expense trending should incorporate projected market rates based upon general economic, market, and submarket conditions from reliable sources.  For example:

  • Rents on recently signed leases should only be used for estimating income growth in years 1 and 2.
  • Rent projections greater than the Base Assumption Income Growth Rate should not be used beyond Loan YearLoan YearPeriod beginning on the date of the Note and ending on the last day of the month that is 12 full months after the date of the Note, and each successive 12-month period thereafter. 4.
  • When improvements in market economic occupancy or sustained market rental rate increases are widely anticipated, growth trends above the Base Assumption Income Growth Rate may be supported.
  • Projections of income growth resulting from PropertyPropertyMultifamily residential real estate securing the Mortgage Loan, including the fee simple or Leasehold interest, Improvements, and personal property (per the Uniform Commercial Code). renovations or improved operations should be limited to the first 3 years.
  • When a PropertyPropertyMultifamily residential real estate securing the Mortgage Loan, including the fee simple or Leasehold interest, Improvements, and personal property (per the Uniform Commercial Code). is subject to a scheduled reassessment or a tax abatement phase-in period, tax expense should be adjusted appropriately.
  • When you expect to incur costs for tenant improvement allowances and leasing commissions, or to realize rent increases from the rollover of tenants, commercial income should be adjusted appropriately.

Economic Vacancy:  PropertiesPropertiesMultifamily residential real estate securing the Mortgage Loan, including the fee simple or Leasehold interest, Improvements, and personal property (per the Uniform Commercial Code). in submarkets that are experiencing depressed economic conditions due to temporary demand or supply issues may be modeled to reflect the economic vacancy projected by a reliable source.  If you expect a decrease in vacancy to achieve stabilized levels, you should consider

  • the anticipated timing, and
  • effect of decreased economic vacancy on projected income growth over the same time period.